Saturday, January 14, 2006

Advantage India

India can take heart. Pakistan has never won a Test match after scoring more than 650 in the first innings of a Test match :-)

ps. Statistically speaking, Pakistan have only a 57.9% chance of winning this game (after scoring more than 650 runs). However, had they scored 350+ in an ODI (which is my opinion is an equivalant score in that format, they would have had a 100% chance of winning (See my previous post sometimes more is less).

This is going to be the basis of my next few posts wherein I try to analyse the two formats of the game. Stay tuned...

(added 15/1/2006) Please see this

5 comments:

Anonymous said...

big up mugabe

Zainub said...

Statistically, what was the probability of Afridi scoring a 78 ball hundred today? Or Kamran scoring a 80 ball ton? Or Pakistan batting at the rate that we did?

Thing is, we might have scored 650 and drawn in the past, but in the past we didn't score 650 in less then 5 full sessions, we have ample time, I think to dismiss India. We should be reasonably confident, despite the start India have got, even where in, I thoght, there was plenty of encouragement.

Saurabh Wahi said...

Zainub, I repeat; these stats meet nothing, else Sachin would score 56.71 runs everytime he came to bat :-)

I just use them to do a bit of analysis, which I hope people find interesting.

And it was not an attempt to take away anything from a great Pakistani performance. I for one, was rooting for Afridi to go on and hit another 2 sixes in the Harbhajan over...

Rightarm Googly said...

Zainub makes a good observation that we need to take the time factor or the scoring rate into account.

Saurabh Wahi said...

rightarm googly, you also got to take the pitch into account :-)