Friday, September 02, 2005

New Zealand: 278/9. Can India Win?

Statistically speaking, highly unlikely!

Why?

Because of the 55 times India has been set a target of 275 or more in a 50 over match, they have lost 46 times and won only 8 times (one was a no result). A Win/Lose ratio of 0.174 does not look promising!

Against New Zealand, they have only won once chasing more than 275 (in 1988/89 at Vadodora chasing 281) and lost 3 times (1995/96 Nagpur, 1998/99 Christchurch and 1999/00 Rajkot).

And to make it worse, they have won only once chasing the 275+outside the sub-continent (against england in the famous 2002 Natwest finals) .

And if 270+ seems too much, here is some more stats regarding run chases:

Chasing 250+, won 25, Lost 83.
Chasing 260+, won 18, Lost 65.

If I were a betting man, I would bet on India losing this game. But they say, cricket is a funny old game....

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

There is no way the Indian team can win. History has proven that they are never able to come from behing to beat a team from the Southern Hemisphere. Just look at their dismal record against the mighty Australian team. There is no way thay can win.

Anonymous said...

Enjoyed a lot! » » »

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